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Bitcoin Price Prediction – BTC Falls Through $18,000, Here’s Where It’s Headed Next

08/12/2022

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Crypto daily report

During the European session, the cryptocurrency market continued to underperform, with the global crypto market cap down 10% from yesterday and DeFi coins down more than 11%. 

Similarly, Bitcoin has dropped more than 10% and is now trading at $16,300. At $18,170, it broke a triple bottom pattern.

FTX and Alameda Controversy

FTX and its subsidiary, Alameda Research, are in hot water. FTX tokens account for a sizable portion of Alameda’s asset holdings. This information suggests that sister companies are more interconnected than previously thought. The latter balance sheets are the source of contention between the two companies.

Concerns about the FTX balance sheet triggered a dramatic shift lower in the market following the Binance LOI for FTX. According to reports, FTX was attempting to secure $6 billion in funding to close the gap on their balance sheet, which could jeopardize the deal.

Terra Luna’s bank run and eventual collapse of LUNA Classic reverberated throughout the cryptocurrency market in May 2022, resulting in Bitcoin’s first 7-week losing streak.

Investors are drawing parallels between the recent FTX bank run, the reported large budget gap, and what happened earlier this year with Terra Luna.

These concerns heighten investors’ skepticism about the cryptocurrency market as a whole. As a result of investors’ concerns about FTX’s solvency, the value of cryptocurrencies is declining. As a result of the news, BTC/USD has dropped to new lows.

Upcoming CPI Report

The Consumer Price Index data show that inflation in the United States increased by 0.6% in September. The CPI report, the most commonly used indicator of inflationary pressure in the United States, increased by 8.2% between September 2021 and September 2022, slightly higher than the 8.1% predicted by experts.

1668023853 581 Bitcoin Price Prediction – BTC Falls Through 18000 Heres Where
US CPI Figures – Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

During the most recent FOMC meeting, Jerome Powell repeatedly stated that the data must be awaited before deciding on the next steps in interest rate policy. As a result, tomorrow could be a watershed moment for the financial markets.

Due to the upcoming CPI reporting event on November 10, BTC/USD experienced a volatile drop in 24 hours, reaching record lows for 2022.

US Dollar Rises as Investors Await Midterm Election Results

The US dollar remained close to its two-month low against the euro as traders awaited the results of the US elections and inflation data this week, which would contribute to interest rate forecasts. 

The US dollar index, which is on track to have its best year in nearly four decades, has dropped by about 1% this week and was trading around 109.68 on November 9.

1668023855 623 Bitcoin Price Prediction – BTC Falls Through 18000 Heres Where
Dollar Index – Source: Tradingview

The dollar’s value has risen recently after falling, which also keeps downward pressure on the price of Bitcoin. 

Bitcoin Price Prediction

The current Bitcoin price is $$16,739, with a $113 billion 24-hour trading volume. Bitcoin has plunged more than 9% in the last 24 hours and over 18% in the last seven days. 

CoinMarketCap now ranks first, with a live market cap of $322 billion. It has a total quantity of 21,000,000 BTC coins and a circulating supply of 19,202,868.

1668023856 6 Bitcoin Price Prediction – BTC Falls Through 18000 Heres Where
Bitcoin Price & Tokenomics – Source: Coinmarketcap

On the technical front, Bitcoin has breached a triple bottom support level of $18,244; closing candles below this level could lead BTC to $16,332. Bitcoin has also formed a “three black crows” pattern on the daily timeframe, indicating the likelihood of a downtrend continuation.

As a result, increased selling pressure on Bitcoin could drive its price down to $14,500.

1668023858 343 Bitcoin Price Prediction – BTC Falls Through 18000 Heres Where
Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Since the leading technical indicators, such as the RSI and MACD, have entered the oversold zone, closing candles above $16,300 may initiate a bullish correction. On the upside, Bitcoin’s immediate resistance level remains at $18,244.

Compiled by Coinbold

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